Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 23.231642 24.588870 26.021896 27.654239 29.470279 31.438263 33.745260
2026-01-18 21.240524 23.098048 25.155259 27.625468 30.542642 33.919581 38.188299
2026-01-25 19.810356 21.900000 24.283620 27.244001 30.881626 35.290286 41.179592
2026-02-01 18.672198 20.899587 23.498248 26.812017 31.015934 36.308822 43.725166
2026-02-08 17.685785 19.988201 22.722500 26.283875 30.921799 36.951739 45.760398
2026-02-15 17.027412 19.419170 22.307463 26.146495 31.275529 38.161836 48.664437
2026-02-22 16.700686 19.227542 22.333165 26.551641 32.347247 40.413881 53.347775
2026-03-01 16.109328 18.668787 21.853392 26.246199 32.404170 41.206290 55.869258
2026-03-08 15.365381 17.882211 21.038839 25.437142 31.685785 40.779243 56.332955
2026-03-15 14.890663 17.419332 20.621876 25.139949 31.666667 41.383130 58.580997
2026-03-22 14.754669 17.384407 20.760639 25.608165 32.780415 43.819532 64.397112
2026-03-29 14.553885 17.253486 20.760353 25.873263 33.600621 45.859715 69.856195
2026-04-05 14.349981 17.124387 20.774447 26.186170 34.560733 48.312798 76.837481
2026-04-12 14.051124 16.857460 20.587812 26.195444 35.046317 50.015950 82.711967
2026-04-19 13.654250 16.442415 20.175492 25.842240 34.913799 50.590561 86.191203
2026-04-26 13.269639 16.031045 19.751664 25.448091 34.682219 50.952133 89.255937
2026-05-03 12.879510 15.600187 19.284566 24.964767 34.267337 50.922624 91.350377
2026-05-10 12.623344 15.345605 19.058474 24.838982 34.445061 52.047177 96.760693
2026-05-17 12.532637 15.315894 19.151536 25.209851 35.498967 55.029790 108.360404
2026-05-24 12.255113 15.016727 18.842628 24.930282 35.386369 55.607561 113.064479
2026-05-31 11.856169 14.537845 18.258040 24.188786 34.405220 54.259656 111.276710
2026-06-07 11.609164 14.267572 17.972230 23.916052 34.256428 54.687593 115.553010
2026-06-14 11.571787 14.291640 18.119089 24.345646 35.414869 58.113039 131.798348